The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose on Wednesday as investors digested weak data for the jobs market and weighed the impact of President Donald Trump’s tax-and-spending package, which narrowly passed the Senate on Tuesday.
The benchmark 10-year yield moved more than 3 basis points higher to 4.283%. The 30-year bond yield was up more than 3 basis points at 4.809%. The 2-year note yield was up 1 basis point at 3.787%.
One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.
Yields were higher earlier in the session before the ADP private payrolls data showed a decline of 33,000 jobs in June. Economists were expecting a gain of 100,000 jobs, according to Dow Jones. A weakening jobs market could spur the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but traders tend to put less weight on the sometimes volatile ADP numbers than the official federal jobs data.
Trump’s megabill cleared the Senate on Tuesday with a final vote of 51-50. The legislation now has to go through the House, where there are still some holdouts from Republican lawmakers.
The bill is expected to add $3.3 trillion to the fiscal deficit over the next decade, and some Republican lawmakers continue to show resistance to the bill. Trump has insisted that he wants the bill on his desk by July 4.
“We expect to see more volatility in fixed income, even once they get the bill passed, whatever that looks like,” said Jose Rasco, CIO of HSBC Global Private Banking and Wealth Management Americas, on “Closing Bell: Overtime.”
“Once these things get resolved and once the [Federal Reserve] gets back in gear, there’s a lot of upside here,” Rasco said.
Investors are also waiting to see more negotiations on trade deals as Trump’s 90-day pause on some of the highest tariffs are due to expire next week. On Wednesday, the president announced that the U.S. and Vietnam reached a trade agreement, which includes a 20% tariff on goods coming from Vietnam to the U.S.
On the economic data front, investors will await the nonfarm payrolls report for June on Thursday. The bond market will be closed on Friday for Independence Day.
